Modeling Results: Futures & Sensitivities

Final Model Inputs for Futures 1-8

• Futures & Sensitivities Input Overview (01/09/2012)

• Future #1 - Modeling Assumptions (09/24/2011)

• Future #1 - Sensitivities Assumptions (01/09/2012)

• Future #2 - Modeling Assumptions (01/09/2012)

• Future #3 - Modeling Assumptions (06/21/2011)

• Future #4 - Modeling Assumptions (06/21/2011)

• Future #5 - Modeling Assumptions (01/09/2012)

• Future #6 - Modeling Assumptions (01/09/2012)

• Future #7 - Modeling Assumptions (06/28/2011)

• Future #8 - Modeling Assumptions (01/20/2012)

• Anomaly Fix - F1,S3 & F6,S10 (10/18/2011)

Final MRN-NEEM Results for Futures 1-8

• Comparison of Futures 1-8 (11/08/2011)

• NEEM Output Report (11/17/2011)

Demand by Region & Year

• Original CRA Demand (03/31/2011)

• With 1% Energy Efficiency

• With 5% Energy Efficiency / Demand Response

• With -5% Energy Efficiency / Demand Response

• With High Demand

• With Low Demand

• Future #4 - Sensitivity 3 Demand

• Future #4b - Demand

• Demand Response Summary Data​

Final Capacity & Generation Results for Three Scenarios

• F8S7  -  (Scenario #1 - Federal Combined Climate & Energy Policy)

• F6S10  -  (Scenario #2 - Regionally-Implemented RPS)

• F1S17  -  (Scenario #3 - Business as Usual)

• Visual Representation of Transmission Needs for Final 3 Scenarios (11/21/2011)

Future #1 - Business As Usual

Future #1

• Base Case Results

• Sensitivity #1

• Sensitivity #2

• Soft Constraint

• Sensitivity #3 Output Report

  • Build Summary Report

  • Presentation

• ​Sensitivity #4

• Sensitivity #5

• Sensitivity #6​

• Sensitivity #7

• Sensitivity #8

• Sensitivity #9

• Sensitivity #10

• Sensitivity #11

• Sensitivity #12

• Sensitivity #13

• ​Sensitivity #14

• Sensitivity #15

• Sensitivity #16​

EIPC MRN-NEEM Output Reports Framework (03/25/2011)

MRN-NEEM BAU & Sensitivities 1&2 Results (03/20/2011​)​

Future #1 - Sensitivities #4-16 Presentation (05/11/2011)

Future #1 - Sensitivity #3 MRN Results

Future #1 - Sensitivity #17 Stakeholder Report (11/07/2011)

​CRA Presentation for F1S17 & F8S7 (11/07/2011)

Future #2 - Federal Carbon Constraint; National Implementation

Future #2

• Base Case Results

• Sensitivity #1

• Sensitivity #2

• Soft Constraint

  • ​Summary Presentation

• Sensitivity #3

• ​Sensitivity #4​

• Sensitivity #5

• Sensitivity #6

• Sensitivity #7

• Sensitivity #8

• Sensitivity #9

• Sensitivity #10

• Sensitivity #11

• Sensitivity #12

NEEM-TX Sub team Analyses

Call #1

• NEEM Output Reporter - OL75

• NEEM Output Reporter - OL25

• TLH Methods Chart (05/27/2011)

• TLH Methods Analysis (05/27/2011)

Call #2

• TLH Analysis (05/31/2011)

• TLH Presentation (05/31/2011)

• CRA Responses to Questions

Call #3

• Summary Tables (06/01/2011)

• SSC Draft Presentation (06/01/2011)

• "Check Total" - Memo (06/01/2011)

• Cost Savings Metric - Fact Sheet

TLH - Results

• Transmission Limits - Graphic

• Transmission Limits - Spreadsheet​

Future #3 - Federal Carbon Constraint; Regional Implementation

Future #3

• Base Case Results

• Soft Constraints

• Sensitivity #1

• Sensitivity #2 - (Currently Unavailable)

• Sensitivity #3

• ​Sensitivity #4​

• Sensitivity #5

• Sensitivity #6

• Sensitivity #7

• Sensitivity #8

• Sensitivity #9

• Sensitivity #10

• Sensitivity #11

• Sensitivity #12

• ​Sensitivity #13

F2 Sensitivities & F3 Base Case - Presentation

NEEM-TX Subteam Analyses

Call (06/16/2011)

• Output Reporter Futures 2&3

• TLH Summary Tables

• TLB Results - (Currently Unavailable)

Future #4 - Aggressive EE/DR/DG/Smart Grid

• Base Case

• Sensitivity #1

• Sensitivity #2

• Sensitivity #3​

Future #5 - National RPS: Top-Down Approach

• Base Case

• Soft Constraints

• Sensitivity #1​

• Sensitivity #2

• Sensitivity #3

• ​Sensitivity #4

• Sensitivity #5

• Sensitivity #6​ - (Currently Unavailable)

• Sensitivity #7

• Sensitivity #8

• Sensitivity #9

• ​Sensitivity #10

Futures 3, 4, & 5 Presentation

Future #6 - National RPS: State/Regional Approach

• Base Case

• Soft Constraints

• Sensitivity #1​

• Sensitivity #2

• ​Sensitivity #3

• Sensitivity #4

• Sensitivity #6

• Sensitivity #7

• Sensitivity #9

• Sensitivity #10

Transmission Limits Hardening Analysis

Future #7 - Nuclear Resurgence

• Base Case

• Soft Constraints

• Sensitivity #1​

• Sensitivity #2

• Sensitivity #3​

• Sensitivity #4​

Transmission Limits Hardening Analysis

Future #8 - Combined Federal Climate & Energy Policies

• Base Case

• Soft Constraints

• Sensitivity #1​​

• Sensitivity #2

• Sensitivity #3​

• Sensitivity #4​

• Transmission Limits Hardening Analysis

• Phase I TLH Results

CRA Summary Presentations

• Future #5 & Soft Constraints for Futures #6-8

• Futures #6-8 Sensitivities

Anomalies

• Proposed Fix for Gen. Anomalies - Presentation

• Proposed Fix for Gen. Anomalies - Spreadsheet

• Proposed Fix for Gen. Anomalies - Memo

Sensitivity #5

Revised CO2 Price

• Soft Constraint

• F8S5 vs. F8S1 Differences

• F8 Charts & Maps

• Futures Comparison - (Currently Unavailable)

• F8S5 Hardening Method

• Hardening Comparison

Sensitivity #6

Revised CO2 Prices - w/Anomalies Addressed

• Soft Constraint

• Stakeholder Report

• Capacity Builds

• Hardening Method - (Currently Unavailable)

• Hardening Comparisons

Sensitivity #7

• F8S1 Stakeholder Report - Revised CO2 Prices w/ Anomalies Addressed and Hardened Limits from F8S1​

Task 5 - Production Cost Modeling

• Task 5 - High Level Cost Matrix

High Level Transmission Costs

• F2 - OL75

• F3 - OL75

• F5 - OL25

• F6 - OL25

• F8 - OL75